Service Plays Monday 7/25/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
New York Mets At Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Preview
By: Michael Robinson

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds (-150, 9)

The New York Mets have played some solid baseball on the road lately. They’ll try to keep it up Monday night when they start a 4-game series at the Cincinnati Reds.

Things will get underway at the Cincinnati Great American Ballpark around 4:10 p.m. (PT). The pitching matchup is R.A. Dickey against Mike Leake.

Both teams are hovering around .500 with New York likely to be sellers at the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline. Big names like Carlos Beltran and Jose Reyes are prominently mentioned.

The Mets (50-50) have underachieved at home (22-26), but are 15-10 in their last 25 road games and 28-24 overall. That road record translates into +12.5 units, second-most in MLB.

New York split the first two games of its weekend series in Florida and was 105 underdogs in the pending Sunday afternoon finale.

Dickey (4-8, 3.80 ERA) is another potential trade candidate after the way he’s pitched lately. His ERA was 5.08 through May 14 with the team going 2-6 in his starts. The last 12 starts have been different (2.94 ERA) with New York 5-1 in his last six.

The 36-year-old knuckleballer last pitched at home against St. Louis last Wednesday, allowing four earned runs over 6 1/3 innings. He got another no-decision in the 6-5 win and should have a much better record overall.

Dickey has a lower ERA away (3.19) than home (4.24), although the ’over’ is 4-1 in his last five away. He’s making his first lifetime appearance against Cincinnati.

The Reds (49-51) are more of a playoff threat than the Mets by virtue of playing in the NL Central. They sit just four games out, albeit in fourth place.

Cincinnati started this 10-game homestand by splitting two with Atlanta. The Reds got an 11-2 win on Saturday after scoring 11 total runs in their previous six. The teams meet up Sunday night in a pending contest.

Leake (8-5, 4.11 ERA) doesn’t have a sterling ERA, but it looks great next to teammates Travis Wood (5.11), Bronson Arroyo (5.56) and Edinson Volquez (5.93), the latter recently sent to Triple-A. The starters overall have a 4.52 ERA, third-worst in the NL.

Leake has had a strange year with a shoplifting arrest in April, plus time spent in the pen and the minors. However, he’s a solid pitcher who has seven quality starts in 10 tries (3.22 ERA) since coming back into the rotation.

The 23-year-old right-hander has only one career appearance against the Mets. It came last May and he surrendered one earned run (four hits) over six innings in a 3-2 home win.

New York is 3-7 in its last 10 games against a right-handed starter.

The Reds are just 26-23 at home this year for an unprofitable -5.6 units. They’re just 4-11 in their last 15 games against the NL East, with the ‘over’ is 9-2-1 in their last 12 against that division.

This is the first meeting between the teams this year. The Reds went 4-2 last year, with New York reversing that number in 2009. They’ve split the last 10 games in Cincinnati over the last three years.

Cincinnati star outfielder Jay Bruce (inner ear infection) didn’t play Friday, but did get a pinch-hit double on Saturday. He was expected to start on Sunday, but the ailment could keep him out longer.

Monday’s scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon should give way to clear skies at night, but it will be in the upper 80s for first pitch. Tuesday’s second game will be a good pitching battle between Johnny Cueto and Jon Niese.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday’s Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

James McDonald (6-4, 4.15 ERA), Pittsburgh Pirates

Baseball bettors are like yard sale shoppers. They’re always looking for a good bargain. This Pirate hurler is the equivalent of an original Atari system with 50 games for $2.50 – a sweet deal any way you slice it.

The Pirates are 6-1 in McDonald’s last seven outings, and they were underdogs in five of those games.

Mark Buehrle (7-5, 3.38 ERA), Chicago White Sox

The White Sox are just 6-9 in their last 15 games, but three of those wins came on days Buehrle took the bump. Chicago would actually be in great shape if Buehrle started all its games. The club is 5-0 in his last five appearances and 13-6 in his 19 starts this season.

The veteran southpaw has been especially effective this month. He carries a 2.05 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) into Monday’s contest.


SLUMPING

Jason Vargas (6-8, 3.94 ERA), Seattle Mariners

Seattle can’t sweep bad starting pitching performances under the rug like the Red Sox or Rangers. The squad's lack of offense doesn't allow bailouts for starting hurlers.

Vargas has given up four or more runs in four of his last seven outings. Not surprisingly, the Mariners are 2-5 in his last seven starts and the under is 5-1 in his last six trips the hill.


RETURNING

Jon Lester (10-4, 3.31 ERA), Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox haven’t exactly been reeling since Lester went down with a strained lat muscle but they’ll be happy to see their big left-hander take the mound on Monday for the first time since July 5.

“We’re just trying to ramp [Lester] up and let him get strong, " Red Sox manager Terry Francona told reporters. "He feels nothing in that lat, which is great. That’s what we wanted. Now it’s just the idea of getting him back to where he can go out there and start a game and not be so limited to where he can only throw 50 pitches.”

Lester was pitching extremely well before going down with the injury. He went 3-2 with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in the month of June.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics (+105, 7)

There were a couple things Tampa Bay management realized Saturday night. It’s clear the Rays, after losing to their second game in as many nights to the Royals, are not going to catch the Yankees or the Red Sox in the AL East. That means the playoffs are happening this year.

That’s the bad news. The good news is that Desmond Jennings is really good. Well, Jennings was the sixth best prospect in baseball according to Baseball America in 2010, so the Rays always knew Jennings was good – but maybe not this good.

The 24-year-old outfielder went 2-for-3 with a double, a triple, a stolen base, two runs scored and a run driven in. Even in a losing effort, that’s one hell of a season debut.

There are whispers that Jennings’ call-up means Tampa Bay is going to put a full-court press on trading its starting center fielder B.J. Upton. You never know, the Rays might be a better team with Jennings playing every day and manning center field.

Expect Jennings to give the slumping Rays a positive jolt of energy, which should be enough to get past the A’s on Monday.

PICK: Tampa Bay


Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (-170, 10)

It doesn’t matter who they have in their batting order, the Texas Rangers always score runs. Maybe it’s because of the blistering Texas heat that helps carry more balls over the fence.

The Rangers are third the majors in runs scored and have finished inside the Top 10 in that offensive category for 10 straight seasons. It helps that Texas always seems to attract quality hitters.

Adrian Beltre was last offseason’s big catch and he’s been delivering the goods with 20 home runs and a team-high 76 RBIs. But the Gold Glove third baseman was put on the DL over the weekend because of a strained left hamstring.

Luckily, as mentioned, the Rangers have enough big bats in the lineup to fill the void. Chris Davis, who was hitting .368 with 24 homers and 66 RBIs in 193 at-bats in the Pacific Coast League, was called up to play third in place of Beltre.

''These guys just came of a huge winning streak and are playing really well,'' Davis told the Dallas Morning News. ''I'm just going to step in and play good defense and keep swinging the bat.''

Entering Sunday’s games, the Rangers had won 14 of their last 16 games.

PICK: Texas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday Betting Tips: Wind Blowing Out In Rays-A's Game

WEATHER

There’s between a 50 and 60 percent chance of rain in the following games: Pirates-Braves, Padres-Phillies, Mariners-Yankees and Royals-Red Sox.

The wind is going to be blowing out (12 mph) in tomorrow’s Rays-A’s game according to the early forecast. The total opened at 7 for this game at multiple Las Vegas sportsbooks Sunday night.

WHO’S HOT

The Los Angeles Angels are 18-8 in their last 26 games overall. They are -125 favorites Monday at Cleveland.

The Braves are 12-2 in their last 14 home games. They host the Pirates on Monday and are -188 chalk.

WHO’S NOT

The Seattle Mariners are on a 15-game winless streak and are +178 underdogs against the New York Yankees on Monday. Seattle was a dog or a pick in each of those 15 losses and averaged just 2.66 runs per game over the losing skid. The M’s have fallen to 25th on the money list at -14.25 units. That means that you’d be down $1425 if you placed $100 on them to win in every game this season.

GAME OF THE DAY

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves (-188, 7)

INJURY TO NOTE

Chipper Jones could be back in the lineup for the Braves on Monday. Atlanta’s third baseman went on the disabled list after he underwent surgery to repair torn cartilage in his right knee. The future Hall of Famer is batting .259 with eight homers and 46 RBIs this season.

KEY STAT

The under is 18-3 in the Phillies’ last 21 games when the total is set at 6.5 or lower. The over/under opened at 7 for the club’s Monday game against the Padres.

BETTING TIPS

As mentioned in today’s lead story, no team is better in playing in hot conditions than the Texas Rangers. Josh Hamilton and Co. are 18-8-1 in games with temperatures at 90 or higher. The temperature is expected to be over 100 in Monday’s game against the Twins.

Few teams see totals north of 8 as often as the Yankees do. The Bronx Bombers came into the season with a reputation for a club with lots of firepower but lacking big league arms. But the Yanks are one of the best under bets this season. The under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 games and 5-1 in NY starting hurler Freddy Garcia’s last six trips to the hill.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Colorado at LA Dodgers

The Rockies look to build on their 6-2 record in Juan Nicasio's last 8 starts. Colorado is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
<table width="538" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">MONDAY, JULY 25
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 951-952: San Diego at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Harang) 16.924; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.815
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-240); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+200); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.670; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.677
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 955-956: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 15.387; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.511
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+130); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 957-958: Houston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.745; St. Louis (McClellan) 15.676
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 959-960: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 15.052; LA Dodgers (De La Rosa) 13.686
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 961-962: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 13.608; NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.837
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 963-964: LA Angels at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 15.805; Cleveland (Carmona) 14.257
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 965-966: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 15.087; Boston (Lester) 16.520
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-280); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-280); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 967-968: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.231; Texas (Holland) 16.656
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 969-970: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Below) 16.463; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.443
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+130); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.334; Oakland (Moscoso) 15.441
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pirates Sunday.

Monday it's the Reds. The deficit is 2438 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Pirates rallied heroically for Hondo yesterday, but his sweep dream was denied by Scott "One And Done" Linebrink, who served up a sudden loss in Cincy that raised the number on the big red tote board to 1,815 blasses.

Today, Mr. Aitch will bother Harang for some help in Philadelphia -- 20 units on the Padres. Tonight, he'll stick with the Bucs -- 20 units on McDonald.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play MONDAY

WHITE SOX -150

 

[kemm77]

Marc Lawrence

Top Play -
LA Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

685- 512 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one 12-3 run MON Angels- 135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -150 over Tigers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

CSKAMoscow + KrylyaSovetovSamara OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Russia

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

WhiteSox -150 over Tigers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Khaliagent sports Bonus Plays (8-2 +9.96 units)

Monday July 25th

Red Sox -1.5 (-135) (medium bet to win 2 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Philadelphia Phillies RL
Tampa Bay Rays ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9 runs bet. Houston and St.Louis

 

[jdsabre]

MLB Write Up

Hot pitchers
-- Lee is 4-0, 0.44 in his last five home starts. Harang is 3-0, 1.91 in his last eight starts.
-- Hudson is 4-0, 1.94 in his last six starts. McDonald is 3-0, 3.32 in his last seven starts.
-- Nicasio is 2-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.

-- Garcia is 4-2, 2.98 in his last seven starts.
-- Lester had a 2.18 RA in his last five starts before going on DL.
-- Holland is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- White Sox won Buehrle's (4-0, 3.06) last seven home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Leake is 1-2, 5.21 in his last three home starts. Dickey is 1-1, 4.85 in his last four road outings.
-- Happ is 1-5, 8.42 in his last eight starts. McClellan is 0-3, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- de la Rosa has a 2.52 RA in his last four starts.

-- Vargas is 0-3, 6.35 in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 0-3, 6.41 in his last four home starts. Haren is 3-2, 6.04 in his last five road outings.
-- Davies is 0-8, 8.92 in his last eight starts.
-- Blackburn is 1-2, 7.24 in his last six starts.
-- Below allowed three runs in five IP in his first big league start.
-- Moscoso is 1-2, 5.09 in his last three starts. Hellickson is 1-3, 3.55 in his last four road starts.

Totals
-- Under is 6-3-1 in San Diego's last ten road games.
-- Over is 7-2 in Atlanta's last nine home games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Mets' last ten games.
-- Six of last seven Happ starts went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Dodger home games stayed under the total. Five of last seven Colorado games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Bronx Bomber games.
-- Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Minnesota games.
-- White Sox' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Oakland games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won 16 of their last 19 home games.
-- Braves won 15 of their last 22 games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last seven home games.

-- Bronx won 15 of its last 19 home games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight games. Royals won four of last five games.
-- Texas won nine of its last ten home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox are 5-3 since All-Star break, allowing 16 runs. Detroit won five of its last seven games.
-- Oakland won four of its last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- San Diego lost 11 of its last 15 games.
-- Astros lost 12 of their last 14 road games.
-- Cincinnati is 8-10 in its last 18 games. Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Colorado is 3-10 in its last thirteen road games.

-- Seattle lost its last 15 hames; they've been outscored 63-31 in their ten games since the All-Star break.
-- Cleveland lost its last five home games, allowing 30 runs.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay is 8-12 in its last twenty games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

CLEVELAND CARMONA -R +1.5 Runs, -140 over Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BOOKIE KILLER

5 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -115 ML